Gloucester City vs Barrow: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Barrow. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gloucester City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Barrow?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gloucester City vs Barrow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gloucester City
Not enough data to predict the Gloucester City lineup.
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Barrow have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mulbarton Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Gloucester City wins, 1 draw, 0 Barrow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barrow 0-0 Gloucester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Barrow vs Gloucester City on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Barrow | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Gloucester City vs Barrow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Barrow?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Barrow.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Barrow played?
- Gloucester City vs Barrow is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.