Match

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój

Goczałkowice ZdrójBarycz Sułów

The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Barycz Sułów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737) and Barycz Sułów (1,756).

Goczałkowice Zdrój win41 %
Draw27 %
Barycz Sułów win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Barycz Sułów have 5, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Goczałkowice Zdrój
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Barycz Sułów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026ROW Rybnik(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away)0-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Miedź Legnica II(away)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Kluczbork(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Goczałkowice Zdrój0.91.547/158/15
Barycz Sułów1.61.236/107/10

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Barycz Sułów sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Barycz Sułów531110610
14Goczałkowice Zdrój5113474

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów?
The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Barycz Sułów.
Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów played?
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Goczałkowice Zdrój and Barycz Sułów

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