Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kompleks Piłkarski 1KS Ślęza Wrocław, Wrocław
The Footlab model makes Ślęza Wrocław the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Ślęza Wrocław (1,730) and Carina Gubin (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ślęza Wrocław have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ślęza Wrocław win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Carina Gubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Carina Gubin 1-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 2-2 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 0-0 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Carina Gubin 1-2 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Ślęza Wrocław 1-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Carina Gubin 1-4 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ślęza Wrocław | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th in III Liga - Group 3 (3 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin?
- The Footlab model makes Ślęza Wrocław the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin played?
- Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kompleks Piłkarski 1KS Ślęza Wrocław, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Stal BrzegvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 17, 2026Stilon GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Oct 17, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 17, 2026KluczborkvsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 17, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 17, 2026Sparta KatowicevsROW Rybnik
- Oct 17, 2026SłowianinvsWarta Gorzów