Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg
The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice?
Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Stal Brzeg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Stal Brzeg 2-1 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Górnik Polkowice 1-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Górnik Polkowice.
- Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice played?
- Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Stilon GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Oct 17, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 17, 2026KluczborkvsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 17, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 17, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 17, 2026Sparta KatowicevsROW Rybnik
- Oct 17, 2026SłowianinvsWarta Gorzów