Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for ROW Rybnik. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; ROW Rybnik have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ROW Rybnik score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| ROW Rybnik | 2.5 | 2.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and ROW Rybnik sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for ROW Rybnik.
- Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik played?
- Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Stal BrzegvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 17, 2026Stilon GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Oct 17, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 17, 2026KluczborkvsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 17, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 17, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 17, 2026SłowianinvsWarta Gorzów