Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for ROW Rybnik. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,504 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,640).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Katowice
Not enough data to predict the Sparta Katowice lineup.
ROW Rybnik
Not enough data to predict the ROW Rybnik lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; ROW Rybnik have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Katowice score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; ROW Rybnik score 2.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Katowice | 2.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| ROW Rybnik | 2.4 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Katowice sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (24 points from 12 matches) and ROW Rybnik sit 6th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sparta Katowice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 20 |
A question about Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for ROW Rybnik.
- Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik played?
- Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Polonia Nysa2-2Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Rakow IIvsWarta Gorzów
- Oct 17, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 17, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 17, 2026Stal BrzegvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 17, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 17, 2026Stilon GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Oct 17, 2026KluczborkvsMiedź Legnica II