Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-1 Zagłębie Lubin II | II Liga - East |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Zagłębie Lubin II 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
- The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
- Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
- Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Stal BrzegvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 17, 2026Stilon GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Oct 17, 2026KluczborkvsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 17, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 17, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 17, 2026Sparta KatowicevsROW Rybnik
- Oct 17, 2026SłowianinvsWarta Gorzów