Goianésia vs Bom Jesus EC: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Waldeir José de Oliveira, Goianésia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Bom Jesus EC the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Goianésia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goianésia vs Bom Jesus EC?
Bom Jesus EC starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goianésia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bom Jesus EC have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trindade(home) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rio Verde(away) | 0-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tupy FC(home) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Goiânia(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 2-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Verde(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trindade(away) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Goianésia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bom Jesus EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC 0-0 Goianésia | Goiano - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bom Jesus EC vs Goianésia on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Goianésia score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bom Jesus EC score 2.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goianésia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bom Jesus EC | 2.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goianésia sit 3rd in Goiano - 2 (14 points from 7 matches) and Bom Jesus EC sit 2nd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bom Jesus EC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Goianésia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goianésia vs Bom Jesus EC?
- The Footlab model makes Bom Jesus EC the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Goianésia.
- Where and when is Goianésia vs Bom Jesus EC played?
- Goianésia vs Bom Jesus EC is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Waldeir José de Oliveira, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.