Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Gol Gohar Sport Complex, Sirjan
The Footlab model makes Gol Gohar the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Aluminium Arak. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Gol Gohar (1,799) and Aluminium Arak (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gol Gohar have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Aluminium Arak have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Chadormalu SC(home) | 3-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Paykan(away) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(home) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tractor Sazi(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Chadormalu SC(away) | 1-5 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 2-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chadormalu SC(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(away) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Paykan(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gol Gohar win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Aluminium Arak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Aluminium Arak 1-2 Gol Gohar | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Gol Gohar 1-0 Aluminium Arak | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Gol Gohar 0-0 Aluminium Arak | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Aluminium Arak 0-0 Gol Gohar | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| May 24, 2024 | Gol Gohar 2-3 Aluminium Arak | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Aluminium Arak 0-0 Gol Gohar | Persian Gulf Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Aluminium Arak vs Gol Gohar on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gol Gohar score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aluminium Arak score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gol Gohar | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Aluminium Arak | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gol Gohar sit 3rd in Persian Gulf Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and Aluminium Arak sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gol Gohar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Aluminium Arak | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak?
- The Footlab model makes Gol Gohar the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Aluminium Arak.
- Where and when is Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak played?
- Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Gol Gohar Sport Complex, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.