Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Takhti Stadium (Ebtedaye khiabane), Bandar-e-Anzalī
The Footlab model makes Malavan the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Nassaji Mazandaran. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Malavan (1,732) and Nassaji Mazandaran (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malavan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nassaji Mazandaran have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Fajr Sepasi(home) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ZOB Ahan(home) | 2-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanat Naft(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tractor Sazi(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Kheybar Khorramabad(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(home) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gol Gohar(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Fard Alborz(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Malavan win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Nassaji Mazandaran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | Malavan 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 Malavan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 Malavan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Malavan 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Malavan 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2022 | Nassaji Mazandaran 2-2 Malavan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Malavan score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nassaji Mazandaran score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malavan | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Nassaji Mazandaran | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malavan sit 8th in Persian Gulf Pro League (4 points from 3 matches) and Nassaji Mazandaran sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Malavan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
- The Footlab model makes Malavan the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Nassaji Mazandaran.
- Where and when is Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran played?
- Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Takhti Stadium (Ebtedaye khiabane), in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.