Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor Sazi: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Sardare Azadegan Stadium, Qazvin
The Footlab model makes Tractor Sazi the favourite at 63%, against 25% for a draw and 12% for Shams Azar Qazvin. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor Sazi?
Tractor Sazi starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shams Azar Qazvin have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Tractor Sazi have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aluminium Arak(home) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Foolad FC(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Persepolis FC(home) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Foolad FC(home) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Fajr Sepasi(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Persepolis FC(home) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sepahan FC(away) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paykan(home) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(home) | 0-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Gol Gohar(home) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Shams Azar Qazvin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tractor Sazi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 Tractor Sazi | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| May 2, 2025 | Shams Azar Qazvin 0-4 Tractor Sazi | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Tractor Sazi 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Shams Azar Qazvin 0-2 Tractor Sazi | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Tractor Sazi 2-3 Shams Azar Qazvin | Persian Gulf Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor Sazi on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shams Azar Qazvin score 0.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tractor Sazi score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shams Azar Qazvin | 0.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Tractor Sazi | 1.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shams Azar Qazvin sit 16th in Persian Gulf Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Tractor Sazi sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tractor Sazi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor Sazi?
- The Footlab model makes Tractor Sazi the favourite at 63%, against 25% for a draw and 12% for Shams Azar Qazvin.
- Where and when is Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor Sazi played?
- Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor Sazi is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Sardare Azadegan Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.