Volna vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Valna, Pinsk
The Footlab model makes FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Volna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volna vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Volna (1,433) and FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk (1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volna have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 3-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lida(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Niva(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Slutsk(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Volna win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 3-1 Volna | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Volna 3-2 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1. Division |
| May 25, 2024 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 1-4 Volna | 1. Division |
| Oct 20, 2018 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 2-1 Volna | 1. Division |
| Jun 23, 2018 | Volna 0-2 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Volna on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volna score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volna | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volna sit 8th in 1. Division (31 points from 21 matches) and FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk sit 4th (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 38 |
| 8 | Volna | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 31 |
| 8 | Volna | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volna vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Volna.
- Where and when is Volna vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk played?
- Volna vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Valna, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.