Gorilla vs Etincelles: result 4-2 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueLower Table Round - 1Kick-off on May 23, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Mumena, Kigali
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What was the result of Gorilla vs Etincelles?
Gorilla won 4-2 on May 23, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Gorilla have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Etincelles have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2021 | APR(home) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 14, 2021 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 11, 2021 | Muhanga(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 8, 2021 | Muhanga(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2021 | Bugesera(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2021 | Police(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 13, 2021 | Musanze(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2021 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 7, 2021 | AS Kigali(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 4, 2021 | Musanze(home) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gorilla score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 8; Etincelles score 1.0 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorilla | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 4/8 | 5/8 |
| Etincelles | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gorilla sit 11th in National Soccer League (40 points from 34 matches) and Etincelles sit 13th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | 40 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy