Świt Skolwin vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Skolwin, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Świt Skolwin vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Świt Skolwin have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 0-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(away) | 3-5 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Świt Skolwin win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Zawisza Bydgoszcz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2024 | Świt Skolwin 2-1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz 0-1 Świt Skolwin | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Świt Skolwin 3-3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz 0-1 Świt Skolwin | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 29, 2022 | Świt Skolwin 6-1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1-1 Świt Skolwin | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Świt Skolwin vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz on May 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Świt Skolwin | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Świt Skolwin sit 18th in II Liga - East (1 points from 5 matches) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Świt Skolwin vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Świt Skolwin.
- Where and when is Świt Skolwin vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz played?
- Świt Skolwin vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Skolwin, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsStal Stalowa Wola
- May 1, 2027Górnik ŁęcznavsLechia Zielona Góra
- May 1, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsOlimpia Grudziądz
- May 1, 2027Legia Warszawa IIvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- May 1, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- May 1, 2027Znicz PruszkówvsAvia Świdnik
- May 1, 2027Podhale Nowy TargvsTychy 71
- May 1, 2027Śląsk Wrocław IIvsSokół Kleczew