Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka, Nowy Sącz
The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Sandecja Nowy Sącz (1,920) and Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandecja Nowy Sącz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-0 Sandecja Nowy Sącz | II Liga - East |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2-3 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Sandecja Nowy Sącz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz | II Liga - East |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2-0 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz sit 6th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Górnik ŁęcznavsLechia Zielona Góra
- May 1, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsOlimpia Grudziądz
- May 1, 2027Legia Warszawa IIvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- May 1, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- May 1, 2027Znicz PruszkówvsAvia Świdnik
- May 1, 2027Podhale Nowy TargvsTychy 71
- May 1, 2027Śląsk Wrocław IIvsSokół Kleczew
- May 1, 2027Świt SkolwinvsZawisza Bydgoszcz