Znicz Pruszków vs Avia Świdnik: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Znicz Pruszków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Avia Świdnik?
Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Znicz Pruszków have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Avia Świdnik have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(away) | 0-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Znicz Pruszków score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znicz Pruszków | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Avia Świdnik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Znicz Pruszków sit 3rd in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Avia Świdnik sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Znicz Pruszków | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Avia Świdnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Znicz Pruszków vs Avia Świdnik?
- The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Znicz Pruszków.
- Where and when is Znicz Pruszków vs Avia Świdnik played?
- Znicz Pruszków vs Avia Świdnik is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsStal Stalowa Wola
- May 1, 2027Górnik ŁęcznavsLechia Zielona Góra
- May 1, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsOlimpia Grudziądz
- May 1, 2027Legia Warszawa IIvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- May 1, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- May 1, 2027Podhale Nowy TargvsTychy 71
- May 1, 2027Śląsk Wrocław IIvsSokół Kleczew
- May 1, 2027Świt SkolwinvsZawisza Bydgoszcz