Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Legia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Gornik Zabrze (2,041) and Legia Warszawa (2,059).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Legia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 1-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 3-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 1-2 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 1-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Gornik Zabrze 1-3 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Legia Warszawa 2-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Gornik Zabrze on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Legia Warszawa.
- Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa played?
- Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Wisla PlockvsPiast Gliwice
- Oct 31, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsKorona Kielce
- Oct 31, 2026Lech PoznanvsWisla Krakow
- Oct 31, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsMotor Lublin
- Oct 31, 2026GKS KatowicevsWidzew Łódź
- Oct 31, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsPogon Szczecin
- Oct 31, 2026Radomiak RadomvsSlask Wroclaw
- Oct 31, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsJagiellonia