Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Cracovia Krakow (1,949) and Motor Lublin (1,934).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cracovia Krakow have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Motor Lublin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin 3-3 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Motor Lublin 0-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 6-2 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd in Ekstraklasa (8 points from 5 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?
- The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Motor Lublin.
- Where and when is Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin played?
- Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsLegia Warszawa
- Oct 31, 2026Wisla PlockvsPiast Gliwice
- Oct 31, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsKorona Kielce
- Oct 31, 2026Lech PoznanvsWisla Krakow
- Oct 31, 2026GKS KatowicevsWidzew Łódź
- Oct 31, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsPogon Szczecin
- Oct 31, 2026Radomiak RadomvsSlask Wroclaw
- Oct 31, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsJagiellonia