Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,952) and Korona Kielce (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Korona Kielce 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Korona Kielce.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce played?
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsLegia Warszawa
- Oct 31, 2026Wisla PlockvsPiast Gliwice
- Oct 31, 2026Lech PoznanvsWisla Krakow
- Oct 31, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsMotor Lublin
- Oct 31, 2026GKS KatowicevsWidzew Łódź
- Oct 31, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsPogon Szczecin
- Oct 31, 2026Radomiak RadomvsSlask Wroclaw
- Oct 31, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsJagiellonia