Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznan have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 7-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(away) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 3-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lech Poznan win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Wisla Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | Wisla Krakow 1-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 17, 2021 | Lech Poznan 5-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| May 8, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Lech Poznan 0-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 1-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Lech Poznan 4-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Wisla Krakow vs Lech Poznan on Mar 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznan sit 4th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Wisla Krakow.
- Where and when is Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow played?
- Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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