Match

Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

Gornik ZabrzeWieczysta Kraków

The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków?

Gornik Zabrze starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,931).

Gornik Zabrze win56 %
Draw24 %
Wieczysta Kraków win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wieczysta Kraków have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gornik Zabrze
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Monaco(home)2-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)0-1UEFA Europa League
Wieczysta Kraków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)4-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznan(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Maccabi Netanya(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze1.61.3210/159/15
Wieczysta Kraków2.01.7112/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gornik Zabrze3300739
17Wieczysta Kraków41038103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Wieczysta Kraków.
Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków played?
Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gornik Zabrze and Wieczysta Kraków

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