Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Widzew Łódź (1,968) and Pogon Szczecin (1,992).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Widzew Łódź win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Pogon Szczecin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Widzew Łódź | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 0-4 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew Łódź sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Pogon Szczecin.
- Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin played?
- Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026JagielloniavsGKS Katowice
- Nov 7, 2026Slask WroclawvsPiast Gliwice
- Nov 7, 2026Wisla KrakowvsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 7, 2026Legia WarszawavsRaków Częstochowa
- Nov 7, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 7, 2026Korona KielcevsRadomiak Radom
- Nov 7, 2026Lech PoznanvsZaglebie Lubin
- Nov 7, 2026Motor LublinvsWisla Plock