Match

Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź

Widzew ŁódźPogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Widzew Łódź (1,968) and Pogon Szczecin (1,992).

Widzew Łódź win48 %
Draw27 %
Pogon Szczecin win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Korona Kielce(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Jagiellonia(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Wisla Plock(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Motor Lublin(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Motor Lublin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026Sturm Graz(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Widzew Łódź win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Dec 2, 2025Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Widzew ŁódźCup
Aug 22, 2025Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Feb 22, 2025Widzew Łódź 0-4 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Aug 17, 2024Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Dec 16, 2023Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Widzew Łódź1.50.976/157/15
Pogon Szczecin1.41.347/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Widzew Łódź sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pogon Szczecin4211747
9Widzew Łódź5131876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin played?
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Widzew Łódź and Pogon Szczecin

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