Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznan have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 7-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(away) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 3-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lech Poznan win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Lech Poznan 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Lech Poznan 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Lech Poznan 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznan sit 4th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 3 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
- Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026JagielloniavsGKS Katowice
- Nov 7, 2026Slask WroclawvsPiast Gliwice
- Nov 7, 2026Wisla KrakowvsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 7, 2026Legia WarszawavsRaków Częstochowa
- Nov 7, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 7, 2026Korona KielcevsRadomiak Radom
- Nov 7, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsPogon Szczecin
- Nov 7, 2026Motor LublinvsWisla Plock