Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,932) and Wisla Plock (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Motor Lublin win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Wisla Plock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Wisla Plock 0-4 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Motor Lublin 1-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 11, 2025 | Motor Lublin 2-2 Wisla Plock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Motor Lublin 2-1 Wisla Plock | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 5, 2024 | Wisla Plock 1-0 Motor Lublin | I Liga |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Motor Lublin 2-2 Wisla Plock | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock?
- The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Plock.
- Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock played?
- Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026JagielloniavsGKS Katowice
- Nov 7, 2026Slask WroclawvsPiast Gliwice
- Nov 7, 2026Wisla KrakowvsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 7, 2026Legia WarszawavsRaków Częstochowa
- Nov 7, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 7, 2026Korona KielcevsRadomiak Radom
- Nov 7, 2026Lech PoznanvsZaglebie Lubin
- Nov 7, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsPogon Szczecin