Match

Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor LublinWisla Plock

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,932) and Wisla Plock (1,916).

Motor Lublin win45 %
Draw25 %
Wisla Plock win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026GKS Katowice(home)1-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026GKS Katowice(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Raków Częstochowa(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Motor Lublin win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Wisla Plock win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Wisla Plock 0-4 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Nov 8, 2025Motor Lublin 1-1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Jul 11, 2025Motor Lublin 2-2 Wisla PlockFriendlies Clubs
Jan 10, 2025Motor Lublin 2-1 Wisla PlockFriendlies Clubs
May 5, 2024Wisla Plock 1-0 Motor LublinI Liga
Nov 5, 2023Motor Lublin 2-2 Wisla PlockI Liga

Last archived meeting: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin1.41.639/158/15
Wisla Plock1.31.646/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Motor Lublin5122685
15Wisla Plock4112384

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock?
The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Plock.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock played?
Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Motor Lublin and Wisla Plock

Ready to know everything about football?