Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,945) and Radomiak Radom (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Korona Kielce win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Radomiak Radom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Radomiak Radom 0-2 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Korona Kielce 3-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Korona Kielce 1-3 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 4-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 3-0 Korona Kielce | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Korona Kielce 4-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Radomiak Radom vs Korona Kielce on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Radomiak Radom.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom played?
- Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026JagielloniavsGKS Katowice
- Nov 7, 2026Slask WroclawvsPiast Gliwice
- Nov 7, 2026Wisla KrakowvsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 7, 2026Legia WarszawavsRaków Częstochowa
- Nov 7, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 7, 2026Lech PoznanvsZaglebie Lubin
- Nov 7, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsPogon Szczecin
- Nov 7, 2026Motor LublinvsWisla Plock