Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Göztepe the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK?
Göztepe starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,017 vs 1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Göztepe have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Gaziantep FK have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Samsunspor(away) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Al-Dhafra(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Göztepe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gaziantep FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Göztepe 2-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 0-1 Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Göztepe 1-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Göztepe 1-0 Gaziantep FK | Türkiye Kupası |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 2-1 Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Gaziantep FK 1-1 Göztepe | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Göztepe score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Göztepe | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Göztepe sit 10th in Süper Lig (1 points from 1 matches) and Gaziantep FK sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Göztepe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK?
- The Footlab model makes Göztepe the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK played?
- Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK is played on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.