Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Gençlerbirliği S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.?
Trabzonspor starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,935).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gençlerbirliği S.K. have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 13, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 9, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 3-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Trabzonspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gençlerbirliği S.K. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Trabzonspor 0-3 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| May 13, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-2 Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-2 Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 15, 2021 | Trabzonspor 2-1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-2 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gençlerbirliği S.K. score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 13th in Süper Lig (1 points from 1 matches) and Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.?
- The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Gençlerbirliği S.K..
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. played?
- Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. is played on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.