Kasımpaşa vs Amed: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Amed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Kasımpaşa (1,917) and Amed (1,933).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasımpaşa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Amed have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Amed score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Amed | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasımpaşa sit 12th in Süper Lig (1 points from 1 matches) and Amed sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
- The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Amed.
- Where and when is Kasımpaşa vs Amed played?
- Kasımpaşa vs Amed is played on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.