Grafičar vs Javor: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Grafičara, Beograd
The Footlab model makes Grafičar the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Javor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grafičar vs Javor?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Grafičar (1,569) and Javor (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grafičar have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Javor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Teleoptik(home) | 5-1 | Prva Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Grafičar win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Javor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Javor 3-0 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Grafičar 1-1 Javor | Prva Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Javor 3-1 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Javor 0-0 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Sep 17, 2021 | Grafičar 1-2 Javor | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Grafičar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Javor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grafičar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Javor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grafičar sit 10th in Prva Liga (4 points from 4 matches) and Javor sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Javor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Grafičar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grafičar vs Javor?
- The Footlab model makes Grafičar the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Javor.
- Where and when is Grafičar vs Javor played?
- Grafičar vs Javor is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Grafičara, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.