Graničar Kotoriba vs Zagorec: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportski Park Kotoriba, Kotoriba
The Footlab model makes Zagorec the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Graničar Kotoriba. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Graničar Kotoriba vs Zagorec?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Graničar Kotoriba (1,588) and Zagorec (1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Graničar Kotoriba have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Zagorec have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Nedelišće(away) | 2-1 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Graničar Đurđevac(home) | 3-1 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Bilogora 91(away) | 2-3 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Polet(home) | 0-1 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Međimurec Pretetinec(away) | 2-5 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Inker(home) | 1-1 | Third NL - Sredite |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Vrapče Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | Third NL - Sredite |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Trešnjevka(home) | 1-1 | Third NL - Sredite |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Maksimir Zagreb(away) | 2-1 | Third NL - Sredite |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Bistra(away) | 1-2 | Third NL - Sredite |
How many goals should we expect?
Graničar Kotoriba score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zagorec score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graničar Kotoriba | 2.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Zagorec | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Graničar Kotoriba vs Zagorec?
- The Footlab model makes Zagorec the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Graničar Kotoriba.
- Where and when is Graničar Kotoriba vs Zagorec played?
- Graničar Kotoriba vs Zagorec is played on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportski Park Kotoriba, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.