Vrbovec vs Daruvar: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion kraj Sajmišta, Vrbovec
The Footlab model makes Daruvar the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Vrbovec. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vrbovec vs Daruvar?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Vrbovec (1,408) and Daruvar (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vrbovec have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Daruvar have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2023 | Ponikve(home) | 0-2 | Third NL - Sredite |
| May 27, 2023 | Samobor(away) | 3-2 | Third NL - Sredite |
| May 20, 2023 | Maksimir Zagreb(home) | 2-3 | Third NL - Sredite |
| May 13, 2023 | Tekstilac Ravnice(away) | 0-3 | Third NL - Sredite |
| May 6, 2023 | Bistra(home) | 0-1 | Third NL - Sredite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Garić Garešnica(away) | 0-1 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Pitomača(home) | 2-6 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Rudar Mursko Središće(home) | 2-3 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Medjimurje Cakovec(away) | 1-1 | Third NL - Sjever |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Dinamo Predavac(home) | 1-2 | Third NL - Sjever |
How many goals should we expect?
Vrbovec score 0.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Daruvar score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vrbovec | 0.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Daruvar | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vrbovec vs Daruvar?
- The Footlab model makes Daruvar the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Vrbovec.
- Where and when is Vrbovec vs Daruvar played?
- Vrbovec vs Daruvar is played on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion kraj Sajmišta, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.