Varteks Varaždin vs Bedem Ivankovo: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin
The Footlab model makes Bedem Ivankovo the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Varteks Varaždin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varteks Varaždin vs Bedem Ivankovo?
Varteks Varaždin starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,641 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varteks Varaždin have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Bedem Ivankovo have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Križevci(away) | 0-3 | Second NL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Segesta Sisak(home) | 2-3 | Second NL |
| May 23, 2026 | Križevci(away) | 2-0 | Second NL |
| May 16, 2026 | Dakovo-Croatia(home) | 0-1 | Second NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Tomislav(home) | 2-1 | Third NL - Zapad |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Vuteks-Sloga(away) | 4-0 | Third NL - Zapad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Radnički Dalj(away) | 0-3 | Third NL - Zapad |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Vinogorac(home) | 1-0 | Third NL - Zapad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Belišće(away) | 2-5 | Third NL - Zapad |
How many goals should we expect?
Varteks Varaždin score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bedem Ivankovo score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varteks Varaždin | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bedem Ivankovo | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varteks Varaždin vs Bedem Ivankovo?
- The Footlab model makes Bedem Ivankovo the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Varteks Varaždin.
- Where and when is Varteks Varaždin vs Bedem Ivankovo played?
- Varteks Varaždin vs Bedem Ivankovo is played on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.