Vukovar vs Radnički Dalj: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek
The Footlab model makes Vukovar the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Radnički Dalj. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vukovar vs Radnički Dalj?
Vukovar starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vukovar have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Radnički Dalj have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| May 22, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 3-6 | HNL |
| May 15, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 0-2 | HNL |
| May 8, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| May 2, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Vardarac(home) | 3-2 | Third NL - Zapad |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Tomislav(away) | 0-2 | Third NL - Zapad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Bedem Ivankovo(home) | 3-0 | Third NL - Zapad |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Vuteks-Sloga(away) | 1-1 | Third NL - Zapad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Vinogorac(away) | 1-0 | Third NL - Zapad |
How many goals should we expect?
Vukovar score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Radnički Dalj score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vukovar | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Radnički Dalj | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vukovar vs Radnički Dalj?
- The Footlab model makes Vukovar the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Radnički Dalj.
- Where and when is Vukovar vs Radnički Dalj played?
- Vukovar vs Radnički Dalj is played on August 25, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gradski vrt, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.