Where and when is Mezzolara vs Grassina played?

Mezzolara vs Grassina is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Zucchini, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mezzolara vs Grassina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Zucchini, Budrio

Mezzolara

Grassina

The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mezzolara vs Grassina?

Grassina starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,562).

Mezzolara win28 %

Draw29 %

Grassina win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mezzolara have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Grassina have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mezzolara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 5, 2024	Progresso(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 28, 2024	Forli(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 21, 2024	Sammaurese(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 14, 2024	Aglianese(home)	0-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 7, 2024	Sangiuliano City(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone D

Grassina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2020	Aglianese(away)	3-3	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020	Flaminia(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020	Cannara(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020	Scandicci(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mezzolara	0.8	1.5	4	6/15	8/15
Grassina	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mezzolara vs Grassina?: The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mezzolara.
Where and when is Mezzolara vs Grassina played?: Mezzolara vs Grassina is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Zucchini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.