Grassina vs Ternana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio di Grassina, Bagno a Ripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Grassina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ternana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grassina vs Ternana?
Ternana starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grassina vs Ternana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grassina
Not enough data to predict the Grassina lineup.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grassina have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ternana have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 3-6 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Grassina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassina | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Ternana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grassina sit 17th in Serie D - Girone E (2 points from 6 matches) and Ternana sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 2 |
A question about Grassina vs Ternana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grassina vs Ternana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Grassina.
- Where and when is Grassina vs Ternana played?
- Grassina vs Ternana is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 4, 2027GavorranovsTau Altopascio
- Apr 4, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsRondinella
- Apr 4, 2027MezzolaravsSeravezza
- Apr 4, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsRobur Siena
- Apr 4, 2027FlaminiavsLucchese
- Apr 4, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsProgresso
- Apr 4, 2027Terranuova TraianavsMontevarchi Calcio