Ternana vs Grassina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Grassina. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ternana vs Grassina?
Ternana starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,646).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ternana vs Grassina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Grassina
Not enough data to predict the Grassina lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Grassina have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 3-6 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Ternana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Grassina | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ternana sit 9th in Serie D - Girone E (8 points from 6 matches) and Grassina sit 17th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 2 |
A question about Ternana vs Grassina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Grassina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Grassina.
- Where and when is Ternana vs Grassina played?
- Ternana vs Grassina is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026LucchesevsFlaminia
- Nov 22, 2026Robur SienavsSasso Marconi Zola
- Nov 22, 2026SeravezzavsMezzolara
- Nov 22, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsTerranuova Traiana
- Nov 22, 2026ScandiccivsPrato
- Nov 22, 2026ProgressovsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Nov 22, 2026Tau AltopasciovsGavorrano
- Nov 22, 2026RondinellavsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano