Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
The Footlab model makes Grazer AK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Wolfsberger AC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Grazer AK (1,882) and Wolfsberger AC (1,975).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grazer AK have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Wolfsberger AC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ried(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 0-8 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lauterach(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Velden(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Grazer AK win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Wolfsberger AC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC 1-0 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Grazer AK 2-0 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC 2-2 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Grazer AK 1-3 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Grazer AK 3-4 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Wolfsberger AC 4-2 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Wolfsberger AC vs Grazer AK on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grazer AK score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Wolfsberger AC score 2.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 2.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grazer AK sit 11th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Wolfsberger AC sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?
- The Footlab model makes Grazer AK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Wolfsberger AC.
- Where and when is Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC played?
- Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Merkur Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.