Grbalj vs Mogren: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Donja Sutvara, Radanovići
The Footlab model makes Grbalj the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Mogren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grbalj vs Mogren?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Grbalj (1,357) and Mogren (1,330).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grbalj have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mogren have 1, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mogren(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zeta(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 29, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Internacional Podgorica(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grbalj(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kom(away) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 19, 2011 | Litex(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 12, 2011 | Litex(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Grbalj win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mogren win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mogren 1-2 Grbalj | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Grbalj score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mogren score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grbalj | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mogren | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grbalj sit 3rd in Second League (4 points from 2 matches) and Mogren sit 4th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grbalj | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Mogren | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grbalj vs Mogren?
- The Footlab model makes Grbalj the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Mogren.
- Where and when is Grbalj vs Mogren played?
- Grbalj vs Mogren is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Donja Sutvara, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.