Match

Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sunset Stadium, Lusaka

ZanacoNAPSA Stars

The Footlab model makes Zanaco the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for NAPSA Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Zanaco (1,533) and NAPSA Stars (1,518).

Zanaco win44 %
Draw33 %
NAPSA Stars win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zanaco have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; NAPSA Stars have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zanaco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026ZESCO United(away)1-6Super League
May 20, 2026Kabwe Warriors(away)0-0Super League
May 16, 2026Nchanga Rangers(home)1-0Super League
May 12, 2026NAPSA Stars(away)0-2Super League
May 6, 2026Red Arrows(home)0-0Super League
NAPSA Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Mutondo Stars(home)1-0Super League
May 17, 2026Konkola Blades(away)0-0Super League
May 12, 2026Zanaco(home)2-0Super League
May 3, 2026Kabwe Warriors(away)0-1Super League
Apr 30, 2026Nkana(home)1-1Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Zanaco win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 NAPSA Stars win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 12, 2026NAPSA Stars 2-0 ZanacoSuper League
Jan 15, 2026Zanaco 0-2 NAPSA StarsSuper League
Mar 13, 2025NAPSA Stars 1-0 ZanacoSuper League
Nov 9, 2024Zanaco 0-1 NAPSA StarsSuper League
Feb 24, 2024Zanaco 0-0 NAPSA StarsSuper League
Sep 23, 2023NAPSA Stars 3-0 ZanacoSuper League

Last archived meeting: NAPSA Stars vs Zanaco on May 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zanaco score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; NAPSA Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zanaco0.91.275/153/15
NAPSA Stars0.91.157/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zanaco sit 7th in Super League (50 points from 34 matches) and NAPSA Stars sit 15th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Zanaco3414812303050
15NAPSA Stars3481214253336

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars?
The Footlab model makes Zanaco the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for NAPSA Stars.
Where and when is Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars played?
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sunset Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Zanaco and NAPSA Stars

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