ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 57%, against 29% for a draw and 14% for Mufulira Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate ZESCO United (1,621) and Mufulira Wanderers (1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ZESCO United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mufulira Wanderers have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ZESCO United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mufulira Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | ZESCO United 1-2 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Mufulira Wanderers 0-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Mufulira Wanderers 0-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | ZESCO United 2-0 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Mufulira Wanderers 2-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | ZESCO United 1-1 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
Last archived meeting: ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mufulira Wanderers score 0.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Mufulira Wanderers | 0.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ZESCO United sit 10th in Super League (47 points from 34 matches) and Mufulira Wanderers sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 49 |
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 57%, against 29% for a draw and 14% for Mufulira Wanderers.
- Where and when is ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers played?
- ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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