Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkoloma Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Kabwe Warriors. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Red Arrows (1,672) and Kabwe Warriors (1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Arrows have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Kabwe Warriors have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Red Arrows win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kabwe Warriors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Red Arrows 3-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Kabwe Warriors 0-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Red Arrows 1-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 0-2 Red Arrows | Super League |
| May 15, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Red Arrows 1-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kabwe Warriors score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Kabwe Warriors | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Arrows sit 2nd in Super League (63 points from 34 matches) and Kabwe Warriors sit 4th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 25 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors?
- The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Kabwe Warriors.
- Where and when is Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors played?
- Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkoloma Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Green EaglesvsRoan United
- Oct 17, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsMakeni All Stars
- Oct 17, 2026NkanavsNchanga Rangers
- Oct 17, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsMufulira Wanderers
- Oct 17, 2026ZanacovsNAPSA Stars
- Oct 17, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsKonkola Blades
- Oct 18, 2026Green BuffaloesvsNkwazi
- Oct 18, 2026Power DynamosvsTrident