Where and when is Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers played?

Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkana Stadium, in the Super League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkana Stadium, Kitwe

Nkana

Nchanga Rangers

The Footlab model makes Nkana the favourite at 40%, against 36% for a draw and 24% for Nchanga Rangers. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Nkana (1,562) and Nchanga Rangers (1,535).

Nkana win40 %

Draw36 %

Nchanga Rangers win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkana have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nchanga Rangers have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nkana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Kansanshi Dynamos(away)	0-0	Super League
May 17, 2026	Man Utd Zambia Academy(home)	1-2	Super League
May 13, 2026	ZESCO United(away)	1-0	Super League
May 3, 2026	Nchanga Rangers(home)	0-1	Super League
Apr 30, 2026	NAPSA Stars(away)	1-1	Super League

Nchanga Rangers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Konkola Blades(home)	1-2	Super League
May 16, 2026	Zanaco(away)	0-1	Super League
May 8, 2026	Kabwe Warriors(home)	1-1	Super League
May 3, 2026	Nkana(away)	1-0	Super League
Apr 29, 2026	Nkwazi(home)	1-0	Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nkana win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Nchanga Rangers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Nkana 0-1 Nchanga Rangers	Super League
Dec 7, 2025	Nchanga Rangers 1-1 Nkana	Super League
Feb 22, 2025	Nchanga Rangers 2-0 Nkana	Super League
Oct 23, 2024	Nkana 0-0 Nchanga Rangers	Super League
Feb 12, 2023	Nkana 3-1 Nchanga Rangers	Super League
Oct 1, 2022	Nchanga Rangers 1-1 Nkana	Super League

Last archived meeting: Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nkana score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nchanga Rangers score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nkana	0.7	0.9	4	6/15	3/15
Nchanga Rangers	1.0	1.1	5	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nkana sit 13th in Super League (39 points from 34 matches) and Nchanga Rangers sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Nchanga Rangers	34	14	8	12	31	26	50
13	Nkana	34	9	12	13	23	30	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers?: The Footlab model makes Nkana the favourite at 40%, against 36% for a draw and 24% for Nchanga Rangers.
Where and when is Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers played?: Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkana Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.