Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC played?

BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, Berlin

BFC Dynamo

Greifswalder FC

The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate BFC Dynamo (1,849) and Greifswalder FC (1,906).

BFC Dynamo win31 %

Draw27 %

Greifswalder FC win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Dynamo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BFC Dynamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Hertha BSC II(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FSV Zwickau(home)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	1-4	Regionalliga - Nordost

Greifswalder FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	BFC Preussen(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026	Altglienicke(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Hertha BSC II(away)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	3-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026	Hallescher FC(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BFC Dynamo win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Greifswalder FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Greifswalder FC 0-1 BFC Dynamo	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 16, 2025	BFC Dynamo 2-0 Greifswalder FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Feb 28, 2025	BFC Dynamo 1-4 Greifswalder FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 10, 2024	Greifswalder FC 1-2 BFC Dynamo	Regionalliga - Nordost
Feb 23, 2024	BFC Dynamo 0-0 Greifswalder FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 3, 2023	Greifswalder FC 0-0 BFC Dynamo	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
BFC Dynamo	1.4	1.3	6	7/15	7/15
Greifswalder FC	2.7	1.3	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BFC Dynamo sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Greifswalder FC	5	2	2	1	11	7	8
13	BFC Dynamo	5	1	2	2	6	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC?: The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for BFC Dynamo.
Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC played?: BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.