Match

Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 6Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald

Greifswalder FCSV Babelsberg 03

The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,900) and SV Babelsberg 03 (1,856).

Greifswalder FC win47 %
Draw23 %
SV Babelsberg 03 win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greifswalder FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026BFC Preussen(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026Altglienicke(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026Hallescher FC(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost
SV Babelsberg 03
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026RSV Eintracht(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Altglienicke(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Greifswalder FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 8, 2026Greifswalder FC 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 27, 2025SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Feb 8, 2025Greifswalder FC 2-1 SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 21, 2024SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Feb 10, 2024SV Babelsberg 03 0-1 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 20, 2023Greifswalder FC 1-0 SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Apr 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Greifswalder FC2.71.3410/1510/15
SV Babelsberg 032.82.2212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greifswalder FC sit 7th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Greifswalder FC52211178
12SV Babelsberg 035122895

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03?
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for SV Babelsberg 03.
Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on August 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Greifswalder FC and SV Babelsberg 03

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