Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 6Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,900) and SV Babelsberg 03 (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Greifswalder FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 27, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 2-1 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 21, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Greifswalder FC 1-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greifswalder FC sit 7th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03?
- The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for SV Babelsberg 03.
- Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
- Greifswalder FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on August 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026BFC DynamovsBFC Preussen
- Aug 25, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsChemnitzer FC
- Aug 25, 2026LuckenwaldevsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Aug 25, 2026Magdeburg IIvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Aug 26, 2026RSV EintrachtvsFSV Zwickau
- Aug 26, 2026Hallescher FCvsTasmania Berlin
- Aug 26, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsAltglienicke
- Aug 26, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsHertha BSC II