Where and when is Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?

Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde

Luckenwalde

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,778).

Luckenwalde win14 %

Draw22 %

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win64 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luckenwalde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	6-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026	BFC Dynamo(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Luckenwalde win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 6, 2025	Luckenwalde 1-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2025	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-1 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
May 3, 2025	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-2 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Nov 10, 2024	Luckenwalde 1-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 27, 2024	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 5-2 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Nov 12, 2023	Luckenwalde 4-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Luckenwalde	0.9	1.4	3	9/15	6/15
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2.4	1.2	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	5	4	1	0	17	4	13
15	Luckenwalde	5	1	0	4	5	11	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?: The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?: Luckenwalde vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.