Magdeburg II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magdeburg II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
Magdeburg II starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magdeburg II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Magdeburg II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 3-5 Magdeburg II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Magdeburg II 2-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 27, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-2 Magdeburg II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Magdeburg II on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magdeburg II score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg II | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magdeburg II sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (7 points from 5 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magdeburg II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magdeburg II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is Magdeburg II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
- Magdeburg II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on August 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026LuckenwaldevsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Aug 25, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsChemnitzer FC
- Aug 25, 2026BFC DynamovsBFC Preussen
- Aug 26, 2026RSV EintrachtvsFSV Zwickau
- Aug 26, 2026Greifswalder FCvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Aug 26, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsHertha BSC II
- Aug 26, 2026Hallescher FCvsTasmania Berlin
- Aug 26, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsAltglienicke