Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on July 1, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Atletico-MG won 0-1 on July 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 26′JôAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico-MG have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2012 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2012 | Nautico Recife(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Bahia(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2011 | Gremio 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2010 | Atletico-MG 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2010 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 8th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy