Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 14, 2016 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Gremio won 1-0 on October 14, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 45′Pedro RochaGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2016 | Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2016 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2016 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Santos(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Ponte Preta(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Gremio(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atletico Paranaense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2016 | Gremio 0-1 Atletico Paranaense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2015 | Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 14, 2015 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense on Sep 21, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (41 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy