Gremio vs Bolívar: result 0-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaRound of 32Kick-off on July 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Bolívar?
Bolívar won 0-1 on July 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′D. AsprillaBolívar
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Gremio win at 72%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Gremio vs Bolívar
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
- 22M. Braithwaite
- 5J. Nardoni
- 9F. Amuzu
- 17Dodi
- 19E. Noriega
- 21Tetê
- 4W. Kannemann
- 6Gustavo Martins
- 7C. Pavón
- 54Pedro Gabriel
- 12Gabriel Grando
Bolívar
- 27D. Asprilla
- 14R. Matheus
- 17P. Rodríguez
- 23L. Justiniano
- 77D. Romero
- 80C. Melgar
- 2Jesús Sagredo
- 3X. Arreaga
- 4Jose Sagredo
- 5S. Echeverría
- 1C. Lampe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bolívar have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Real Potosí(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 3-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Guabirá(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| May 31, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| May 28, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Gremio wins, 0 draws, 1 Bolívar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bolívar 3-2 Gremio | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bolívar score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bolívar | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
A question about Gremio vs Bolívar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy