Gremio vs Flamengo: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 22, 2024 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Flamengo?
Gremio won 3-2 on September 22, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 12′F. CristaldoGremio
- 25′Matheus GonçalvesFlamengo
- 55′M. BraithwaiteGremio
- 83′Diego CostaGremio
- 90′Felipe TeresaFlamengo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Flamengo have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2024 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Criciuma(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Bahia(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Flamengo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2024 | Flamengo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Gremio 3-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Flamengo 1-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Gremio 0-2 Flamengo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Flamengo 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Gremio 2-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Flamengo score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Flamengo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Flamengo sit 2nd (45 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy