Grobiņa vs Tukums: result 1-0 and analysis
VirsligaRegular season - 32Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Grobiņas stadionā, Grobiņa
Full time
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Tukums?
Grobiņa won 1-0 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 56′553058Grobiņa (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grobiņa have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Tukums have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | FK Liepaja(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 15, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils(away) | 2-3 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2025 | FS Jelgava(home) | 3-2 | Virsliga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Super Nova(home) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Metta / LU(home) | 3-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FK Liepaja(away) | 1-4 | Virsliga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | FS Jelgava(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Grobiņa win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Tukums win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2025 | Tukums 2-1 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| May 21, 2025 | Grobiņa 2-0 Tukums | Virsliga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Tukums 2-0 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Grobiņa 1-2 Tukums | Virsliga |
| Jul 8, 2024 | Grobiņa 2-1 Tukums | Virsliga |
| May 16, 2024 | Tukums 1-2 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Grobiņa score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tukums score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grobiņa | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tukums | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grobiņa sit 8th in Virsliga (21 points from 27 matches) and Tukums sit 9th (20 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grobiņa | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 50 | 21 |
| 9 | Tukums | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 54 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy